October 25 - Between Probability and Uncertainty, Pinning Down the Polls; "What's the Matter with White People?"

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Part 1	We begin with Nate Silver who accurately predicted the winner in 49 of 50 states in the 2008 election. His blog FivethirtyEight.com is on the New York Times website and his articles also appear in the print edition of the New York Times. We discuss the wildly fluctuating polls as the election enters the home stretch and his new book “The Signal and the Noise: Why so Many Predictions Fail – But Some Don’t”.
Part 2	Then Joan Walsh joins us. She is editor-at-large for Salon.com and an MSNBC political analyst and the author of a new book “What’s the Matter with White People: Why We Long for a Golden Age That Never Was”. We discuss the gender gap in our politics and what pits Americans against each other as the middle class shrinks, working families struggle and everyone falls behind except the wealthy.
	MUSIC: M. Ward - Rollercoaster; Greenday - American Idiot; Randy Newman - Rednecks; MGMT - The Youth